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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 6,3x - 6,9x | 6,6x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 6,3x - 6,9x | 6,6x |
| Fair Value | ₫32.518 - ₫37.981 | ₫35.249 |
| Upside | 7,3% - 25,3% | 16,3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Gelex Electricity Joint Stock Company | GEE | HOSE:GEE |
| Viglacera Corporation | VGC | HOSE:VGC |
| Tasco Joint Stock Company | HUT | HNX:HUT |
| PC1 Group Joint Stock Company | PC1 | HOSE:PC1 |
| PT Citra Marga Nusaphala Persada Tbk | CMNP | IDX:CMNP |
| GELEX Group Joint Stock Company | GEX | HOSE:GEX |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| GEE | VGC | HUT | PC1 | CMNP | GEX | ||
| HOSE:GEE | HOSE:VGC | HNX:HUT | HOSE:PC1 | IDX:CMNP | HOSE:GEX | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 18.9% | 17.9% | 25.9% | 9.5% | 25.5% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 2.7% | 39.6% | 25.3% | 20.8% | 13.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.0% | -8.6% | 63.5% | 16.5% | 0.1% | 2.0% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 10.8% | 31.6% | 28.4% | 19.7% | 32.7% | 18.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 11.2% | 37.9% | 5.6% | 23.7% | 25.1% | 23.3% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 11.2% | 32.4% | 3.3% | 23.8% | 47.7% | 19.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 11.2% | 35.5% | 3.3% | 24.8% | 46.0% | 19.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.76x | 1.82x | 0.70x | 1.64x | 3.65x | 1.21x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 15.7x | 5.1x | 21.4x | 6.6x | 7.9x | 6.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 22.9x | 11.3x | 140.3x | 10.4x | 9.1x | 10.6x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.1x | 7.9x | 21.4x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.2x | 5.8x | 14.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.3x | 6.6x | 6.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 6,957,362 | 6,957,362 | 6,957,362 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 43,527,783 | 45,818,719 | 48,109,655 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (16,654,056) | (16,654,056) | (16,654,056) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 26,873,727 | 29,164,663 | 31,455,599 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 859.4 | 859.4 | 859.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 31,269.25 | 33,934.90 | 36,600.54 | ||||
| FX Rate: VND/VND | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 31,269.25 | 33,934.90 | 36,600.54 | 30,300.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 3.2% | 12.0% | 20.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | GEE | VGC | HUT | PC1 | CMNP | GEX | |
| Enterprise Value | 29,968,857 | 23,284,545 | 21,305,231 | 16,089,042 | 15,694,547 | 42,694,779 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 812,958 | 2,449,728 | 3,443,774 | 3,573,896 | 500,343 | 10,212,675 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2,661,918 | 358,831 | 998,620 | 1,693,669 | 587,726 | 2,937,442 | |
| (-) Debt | (3,424,518) | (4,745,969) | (10,215,878) | (11,119,160) | (6,538,298) | (19,491,880) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (556,215) | (1,619,735) | (2,955,594) | (2,208,382) | (1,441,123) | (10,312,294) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 29,463,000 | 19,727,400 | 12,576,153 | 8,029,066 | 8,803,195 | 26,040,723 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 366.0 | 448.4 | 982.5 | 357.6 | 6,029.6 | 859.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 80,500.00 | 44,000.00 | 12,800.00 | 22,450.00 | 1,460.00 | 30,300.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 80,500.00 | 44,000.00 | 12,800.00 | 22,450.00 | 1,460.00 | 30,300.00 | |
| Trading Currency | VND | VND | VND | VND | IDR | VND | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |